Florida, United States.
The next season of hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean will have an activity “above the annual average“with 17 tropical storms called, due to the absence of the meteorological phenomenon of The boy, According to the annual forecast released this Thursday by the State University of Colorado (CSU).
The report indicates that this is an above-average probability “big hurricanes affect the continental coast of United States and the Caribbean “.
University experts anticipaten 17 called stormse, whatn eight hurricanes and four of them hurricanes with sustained winds of about 178 kilometers per hour, that is, category 3,4 or 5 on the Saffir / Simpson scale.
The forecast, presented in the context of the National Tropical Climate Conference, is based on more than four decades of historical data from the hurricanes ccomposed by CSU and in the observation of two key elements for its formation hurricanes: the water temperatures in the Atlantic and fluctuations in the Pacific, known as The boy and the girl.
Specifically, the report says there is a 69% chance that a hurricane will hit somewhere on the east coast USA, when the average for the last century was 52%.
The forecast includes 80 days of storms and 35 days from hurricanes, the same as in 2020, a record year in this area, but above the historical average of 59 and 24 respectively.
Moreover, it has a 44% chance of one hurricane ltying to the Gulf of Mexico and a 58% chance of one hurricane in the Caribbean, both figures well above historical averages.
If the forecast for 2021 is met as expected by USC today, this is season becomes 140% above average, resulting from data collected since 1981.
The report of the experts of the University of Colorado they largely coincide with those of the meteorological service provider Accuweather this week.
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In this case, they envision that they will be formed in e in 2021l Atlantic from 16 to 20 storms by name, of which there will be between seven and ten hurricanes, of which between three and five will be of a higher category.
The 2020 season saw the busiest in history 30 called storms, thirteen of them hurricanes and six of these big ones.
It was also a record as the US sufferedor twelve direct hits, three more than in 1916, which had the previous figure, according to Accuweather./EFE.