- A new study indicates that the people most likely to spread the new coronavirus are young adults and middle-aged adults.
- The study found that people aged 20-49 were responsible for more than 70% of COVID-19 transmission in the US. But most people with severe, life-threatening COVID-19 are over 50.
- Additional mitigation measures may be needed to reduce outbreak transmission, including vaccination of younger age groups most likely to spread the disease.
The number of daily cases of coronavirus has been declining for a few weeks in the US and other countries that saw massive spikes in late 2020, just as vaccination campaigns are on the rise. But the virus is still spreading at alarming rates. The US COVID-19 infection curve is finally heading down, but the country is still registering more than 120,000 infections per day. In addition, three new strains of coronavirus are spreading rapidly, including the British, South African and Brazilian mutations. The South African version can bypass the action of neutralizing antibodies from previous COVID-19 and promote reinfection, which means the mutation may also reduce the vaccine’s efficacy.
These mutations can always spark new waves if health measures are not respected and if immunization campaigns cannot be expanded. The latest discovery brings up the same point, outlining the measures to be taken with the age group largely responsible for the spread of COVID-19.
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The CDC just explained how most people are likely to get COVID-19. They will contract the disease if they are within two meters of someone who is infected. When that person coughs, sneezes, or simply speaks and breathes, droplets and aerosols can be released into the air and infect others.
Researchers at Imperial College London’s Department of Mathematics have now identified the most likely group of people who spread these virus-laden particles.
According to the new study published in Scienceit is people between the ages of 20 and 49 who are responsible for at least 70% of coronavirus transmission in the US. The scientists found that students up to 19 years old contributed only 15% to the COVID-19 transmission. The study also indicates that the most affected age group were over 50s, who recorded the most number of deaths during the late summer and fall of 2020.
“This addresses this underlying false story … that if you guard the most vulnerable, you can let the virus run free,” said Dr. John Brownstein ABC news. “If you let it predominate in the younger age groups, it will still affect the elderly and vulnerable groups.” Brownstein is an epidemiologist at Boston Children’s Hospital and was not involved in the study.
The researchers relied on mathematical and mobility data to model COVID-19 transmission and found that early and middle-aged movement is the leading cause of infections.
“Certain age groups, such as young adults, dropped their guard,” said Brownstein. “[The report] places more responsibility on those in the younger age groups who were trying to live a normal life and had a little bit of COVID fatigue. “
The health expert also addressed school reopenings, saying the report indicates that children are not the leading cause of infections.
This new study also offers suggestions for reducing further outbreaks. “In sites where new highly transmissible SARS-CoV-2 lines have not yet emerged, additional interventions in adults aged 20-49, such as mass vaccination with transmission-blocking vaccines, may help to address the resurgence of COVID-19 epidemics. bring control and prevent deaths, ”the researchers wrote.
There is currently a shortage of COVID-19 vaccines, so only certain categories of people are eligible for them in most places. Young and middle-aged adults may still have to wait to be eligible unless governments change vaccination protocols. As for “additional interventions” that can reduce the risk of transmission, they remain the same regardless of mutations. Face masks, social distancing, regular hand washing, adequate indoor ventilation and avoiding crowds indoors have been shown to reduce the risk of COVID-19 spreading.
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