In early February, a Michael Jordan beginner basketball card in pristine condition was sold for a record $ 738,000 at auction from Goldin’s company. The kicker? Exactly the same item went for nearly $ 215,000 a few weeks earlier.
“There has never been a time like this in the history of the company,” Goldin told CNN Business. “I’ll bet that for every person who wanted a Michael Jordan rookie card in 2019, there will be 100 [now]
“This is now part of our culture,” said Goldin. “I wouldn’t get anywhere near the word bubble.”
The pandemic push
Prices for top quality cards with all-time greats have risen dramatically. Those with newer talent also increased as enthusiasts tried to scout the next big stars.
“Instead of betting on a game, people watch it and can bet on a career,” said Goldin.
The rise in prices has caught the attention of a broader class of investment professionals, who are in step with cash following unprecedented stimulus from governments and central banks. The lowest interest rates have also made it harder to find lucrative investments, spurring interest in creative alternatives.
“Funds are being created. They are engaging investors and pooling five, 10, 15 million dollars,” said Jesse Craig, director of business development at PWCC Marketplace, a top seller of premium cards.
“It’s hard to find someone [in] my generation whose first company didn’t buy baseball cards when they were 10, “Luber, who is 42, told CNN Business. “We are all of the age that we have a little more money, but we are also in decision-making positions for investment funds.”
The advent of institutional money has rapidly changed the market. Goldin said for the first time in his career that he is handling calls from hedge funds interested in gaining exposure.
A takeover interest has also emerged, given the limited number of leading companies in the sector. Last month, Angel Investor Nat Turner and Steve Cohen, the billionaire hedge fund titan and owner of the New York Mets, announced that they were buying Collectors Universe authentication service in an $ 853 million deal, after reconciling a bid first made in November.
Not just Wall Street
It’s not just a lot of money that comes into play as the industry gets a financial makeover.
“We realized that the potential fractional ownership should break through a huge barrier to entry,” said Ezra Levine, Collectable’s CEO, who buys sports cards and converts them into marketable assets registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
The company has completed approximately 40 IPOs since last fall and can boast impressive returns. A 1986 Jordan card that went public for $ 10 a share in October is now trading at $ 60 a share, while the share of a signed James card from 2003 is up 50% since late December.
Not everyone follows this route. Other hobbyists gather on social media as they break open new packs of cards, hoping they will include younger talent that can later be sold on eBay for a huge profit. Some make even bigger bets.
Is it a bubble?
Those in the business say prices could drop for some extremely popular items, like the rookies in Jordan, but they don’t think valuations are getting out of hand.
“I think trading cards are one of the most undervalued asset classes out there,” Luber said.
He added that while the 1986 Jordan card valued faster than he expected, he doesn’t think the value is out of line with demand.
Everyone in the industry thinks it’s “a $ 1 million card,” Luber said. “But we all thought it was a year away instead of a month.”
Scott Keeney, who created a fund to invest in trading cards and companies like Collectable with venture capitalists Courtney and Carter Reum, is also optimistic. He thinks that in one to two years the prices charged by Jordan and Mantle cards will be much higher than they are now.
“We take all these other people coming in as more confirmation,” said Keeney. He declined to share how much his fund had raised, except that it was at least seven figures.
Goldin recognizes that prices will inevitably fluctuate. But he believes supply will remain under control, especially at the top end of the market.
The difference between cards and stocks [is] nobody likes a share, “he said.” Some people buying these cards to make them sell is like getting an arm off them. “