“Statistics are like strings, they show everything but the most important.” The famous quote of Juan Manuel Lillo, Manchester City’s current technical assistant, applies perfectly to Everton, by James Rodríguez and Yerry Mina.
Two different sources, precisely based on statistical forecasts, mean that Carlo Ancelotti’s team will not meet its target of qualifying for European competitions at the end of the season and will end up in a more or less usual location in the Premier League.
The first to notice the trend is the CIES Football Observatory, which sees Carlo Anelotti’s team finish eighth, with 61 points, outside of the Champions and Europa League.
The account says that even the arrival of reinforcements such as Godfrey, James, Allan or Doucouré will not be able to change a curve that has kept the team away from the leading positions in England for years. He is currently seventh with two fewer games, but if the statistics are correct, that will not improve his performance.
According to CIES, the champion in England will be Manchester City, followed by Manchester United and Liverpool, who can turn the current crisis and come in third. Interestingly, the Tuchel effect would reach Chelsea to finish in fourth place and directly reach the Champion, while Leicester would be fifth, with a spot in the Europa League.
Worse still, James and Mina are with Everton in another showing, England’s FiveThirtyEight, who is ninth in the Premier, again without meeting the goal of returning to continental tournaments.
According to this report, Guardiola’s City will indeed become champions, followed by United and Liverpool, but here Leicester would be classified fourth and Chelsea would go to the Europa League.
The bad news would be for Tottenham, due to Dávinson Sánchez and José Mourinho, who would finish eighth, while Arsenal would finish tenth, behind Everton.
Champions in other competitions
CIES is engaged in other major leagues, such as Italy, which would have Inter Milan, the current leader of Calcio, as champion, while Milan would come second and Juventus, champion of the last 9 editions, third. New to the Colombians is that Napoli, through David Ospina, would finish fourth and move up to the Champions League, while Atalanta, through Zapata and Muriel, would finish sixth and would have to settle for the Europa League quota.
In Spain, according to calculations, Atlético de Madrid would be the champion, followed by FC Barcelona, Real Madrid and Seville, all with a place in the Champions League. Those placed in the Europa League would be Real Sociedad and Villarreal, by Carlos Bacca, and the downgraded would be Elche, by Johan Mojica.
In France’s Ligue 1, against all odds, Lyon would snatch PSG and become champions, followed by Lille and Monaco.
In Germany, however, there are no surprises and Bayern Munich, world champion, would become champion for the ninth consecutive season. What is new is that Leipzig would come second and Bayer Leverkusen third, ahead of Wolfsburg, with Borussia Dortmund, a traditional Champions League guest, going to the Europa League this time, with everything and Haaland, Sancho and company.