KEEP IN MIND THAT: This forecast, compiled by The Hollywood Reporter‘s awards columnist Scott Feinberg, reflects Scott’s best attempt at predicting the behavior of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences not his personal preferences. He achieves this ranking through consultation with voters and strategists, analysis of marketing and campaigns, results of pre-Oscars awards, and the history of the Oscars themselves. There will be regular updates to reflect new developments.
* BEST PHOTO *
1. Nomadland (Searchlight)
2. Promising young woman (Focus)
3. The Chicago Trial 7 (Netflix)
4. Threatening (A24)
5. Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner Bros.)
6. The father (Sony Classics)
7. Sound of Metal (Amazon)
8. Limp (Netflix)
* BEST DIRECTOR *
1. Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
2. Emerald Fennell, Promising young woman
3. David Fincher, Limp
4. Lee Isaac Chung, Threatening
5. Thomas Vinterberg, Another round
* DEAR ACTOR *
1. Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s black bottom
2. Anthony Hopkins, The father
3. Ahmed rice, Sound of Metal
4. Gary Oldman, Limp
5. Steven Yeun, Threatening
* BEST ACTRESS *
1. Frances McDormand, Nomadland
2. Carey Mulligan, Promising young woman
3. Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s black bottom
4. Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday
5. Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a woman
* BEST ACTOR AT ANNEX *
1. Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
2. Sacha Baron Cohen, The Chicago Trial 7
3. Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
4. Leslie Odom, Jr., One night in Miami
5. LaKeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah
* BEST FEMALE SUPPORTING ROLE *
1. Youn Yuh-jung, Threatening
2. Maria Bakalova, Borat Later film film
3. Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
4. Olivia Colman, The father
5. Amanda Seyfried, Limp
* BEST CUSTOM SCREENPLAY *
1. Nomadland (Chloe Zhao)
2. The father (Christopher Hampton & Florian Zeller)
3. One night in Miami (Kemp powers)
4. The white tiger (Ramin Bahrani)
5. Borat Later film film (Peter Baynham, Sacha Baron Cohen, Jena Friedman, Anthony Hines, Lee Kern, Dan Mazer, Erica Rivinoja & Dan Swimer)
* BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY *
1. Promising young woman (Emerald Fennell)
2. The Chicago Trial 7 (Aaron Sorkin)
3. Judas and the Black Messiah (Will Berson, Shaka King, Keith Lucas & Kenny Lucas)
4. Threatening (Lee Isaac Chung)
5. Sound of Metal (Derek Cianfrance, Abraham Marder & Darius Marder)
* BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE *
1. My Octopus teacher (Netflix)
2. Time (Amazon)
3. Crip Camp (Netflix)
4. Collective (Magnolia / participant)
5. The Mol agent (Gravitas)
* BEST INTERNATIONAL JOB *
1. Another round (Denmark)
2. Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
3. Better days (Hong Kong)
4. Collective (Romania)
5. The man who sold his skin (Tunisia)
* BEST ANIMATED FEATURE *
1. Soul (Pixar)
2. Wolfwalkers (Apple TV + / GKIDS)
3. About the moon (Netflix)
4. Forward (Pixar)
5. A movie of Shaun the sheep: Farmageddon (Netflix)
* BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY *
1. Nomadland
2. Limp
3. Judas and the Black Messiah
4. The Chicago Trial 7
5. News of the world
* BEST COSTUME DESIGN
1. Ma Rainey’s black bottom
2. Limp
3. Emma
4. Mulan
5. Pinocchio
* BEST MOVIE EDIT *
1. Sound of Metal
2. Nomadland
3. The Chicago Trial 7
4. The father
5. Promising young woman
* BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING *
1. Ma Rainey’s black bottom
2. Limp
3. Hillbilly Elegy
4. Emma
5. Pinocchio
* BEST ORIGINAL SCORE *
1. Soul
2. Threatening
3. Limp
4. News of the world
5. Da 5 Bloods
* BEST ORIGINAL NUMBER *
1. “Husavik” (Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga
2. “I Si (Seen)” (Life ahead
3. “Fight for you” (Judas and the Black Messiah
4. ‘Hear my voice’ (The Chicago Trial 7
5. “Speak Now” (One night in Miami
* BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN *
1. Limp
2. Tenet
3. News of the world
4. Ma Rainey’s black bottom
5. The father
* BEST SOUND *
1. Sound of Metal
2. Soul
3. Limp
4. News of the world
5. Greyhound
* BEST VISUAL EFFECTS *
1. Tenet
2. The midnight sky
3. Mulan
4. Love and monsters
5. The one and only Ivan
* BEST ANIMATED SHORT *
1. Hollow
2. When something happens, I love you
3. Yes folks
4. Opera
5. Genius Loci
* BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT *
1. A love song for Latasha
2. A concert is a conversation
3. Colette
4. Don’t split
5. Hungry Ward
* BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT *
1. Two distant strangers
2. The letter room
3. Present
4. Feel through
5. White eye